Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 1.447781 1.648683 1.867327 2.122956 2.413671 2.734061 3.114040
2025-11-23 1.140083 1.413834 1.737734 2.149307 2.658632 3.268676 4.055627
2025-11-30 0.953338 1.254122 1.631201 2.138798 2.804819 3.649907 4.805504
2025-12-07 0.810916 1.119634 1.525447 2.098188 2.886638 3.935527 5.440110
2025-12-14 0.697623 1.004492 1.424804 2.042877 2.929933 4.159457 5.998009
2025-12-21 0.617117 0.922612 1.356736 2.019053 3.005773 4.424696 6.627044
2025-12-28 0.578860 0.895697 1.361363 2.096139 3.228867 4.913540 7.619165
2026-01-04 0.521284 0.832682 1.304837 2.073440 3.296391 5.172823 8.283188
2026-01-11 0.489766 0.805999 1.299681 2.127145 3.483353 5.625899 9.284171
2026-01-18 0.451599 0.764351 1.266206 2.130849 3.588135 5.954608 10.109711
2026-01-25 0.411831 0.715849 1.216570 2.102083 3.634615 6.189097 10.794815
2026-02-01 0.375987 0.670344 1.167349 2.068453 3.667874 6.401049 11.455187
2026-02-08 0.348440 0.639607 1.145453 2.089202 3.813650 6.845972 12.618692
2026-02-15 0.323732 0.611962 1.127304 2.116894 3.978782 7.348514 13.954388
2026-02-22 0.296590 0.576563 1.091036 2.106482 4.071033 7.725594 15.092890
2026-03-01 0.268803 0.536748 1.042205 2.066489 4.101820 7.989079 16.038381
2026-03-08 0.242522 0.496920 0.989080 2.012015 4.097604 8.183041 16.863764
2026-03-15 0.222695 0.467798 0.953668 1.988552 4.151558 8.493596 17.952405
2026-03-22 0.215266 0.463251 0.966593 2.064471 4.415132 9.247289 20.031708
2026-03-29 0.198748 0.437802 0.934214 2.042115 4.470121 9.577099 21.244588
2026-04-05 0.190666 0.429642 0.937032 2.095007 4.690913 10.274313 23.324014
2026-04-12 0.178956 0.412239 0.918328 2.098655 4.803529 10.748785 24.954950
2026-04-19 0.165705 0.389981 0.886834 2.070325 4.841125 11.061074 26.246952